Quirama, Colombia, June 27, 2003
In
his book Viaje a pié,
or Travel by Foot,
Antioquian master story teller
Fernando González relates how, on
the road from Medellín to la Ceja,
he came across two older women
passing on pieces of news and
lovers’ messages throughout these
coastal lands and asked them how
much further it was to his
destination.
With
the well-known wisdom of the
region, one of the women answered
him, “It all depends upon your
spirit.”
It
is precisely this phrase, so
filled with meaning, that leads me
to point out that today, more than
ever, the future of the subregion’s
integration depends upon the
spirit of those who are in
positions of leadership.
The
people who inspired this great
project were staunch defenders of
democracy who sensed that it would
be impossible to resolve their
countries’ problems within the
narrow confines of their national
borders. It was their dream that a
common market would enhance the
stature of their countries and
make them less vulnerable to
international cycles.
They
believed that together, we could
do far more that separately.
Curiously enough, the world
experienced a radical change on
the two hundredth anniversary of
the French revolution, in 1989. We
can all still remember how the
Berlin Wall was brought tumbling
down and the global economy began
to make its supremacy felt.
This
was also the year when the term
“Washington Consensus” was coined
in reference to Latin America and
when the Andean Presidents emerged
from a lengthy period of
protectionism to open their
borders to trade within the
Community. The economic models
changed.
Globalization has done away with
old economic precepts, but has
left our nations with unsatisfied
needs. The legitimate and growing
demands of the people are placing
an enormous burden on our
countries’ democratic governments
and governance.
While the past decade yielded some
positive results, in the specific
case of Latin America, it was not
free from troubling developments,
as well. Inflation was brought to
a halt, but growth was very modest
and proved unable to do away with
unemployment and to reduce poverty
to any extent. Nor did education
--the key to competitiveness--
show much improvement. These are
all facts that we must take into
account in our Andean thinking.
THE
STRENGTHS WE HAVE ATTAINED
Recent difficulties are quite
likely to cloud our perception of
the true significance of the
results we have already attained.
The Andean Community is home to
120 million people with a 300
billion dollar GDP, making it a
sizeable enlarged market.
The
cooperation of the Andean
countries in defense of democratic
values has been a guiding
principle of our integration,
together with the protection of
human rights and the war against
terrorism and drug trafficking.
These principles have become the
indelible mark of our alliance.
The
existence of Andean institutions
is a visible fact of our
integration, as we have seen at
this meeting.
Trade between the Andean countries,
which mushroomed fifty-fold
between 1970 and 2002, become a
learning experience for our
entrepreneurs in their preparation
to move toward more sophisticated
markets.
The
benefits we have obtained as a
result of the joint efforts of our
countries to deal with the United
States, through the ATPA - today
the ATPDEA -, and the European
Union, through the signing of the
Andean GSP, can be seen as fair
concessions for our cooperation in
fighting the worldwide problem of
drug trafficking.
The
nearly 600 thousand jobs that have
been created as a result of that
trade stand as a clear example of
the benefits for our countries’
production activities,
particularly among the small and
medium enterprises.
Andean trade continues to hold a
major potential. The International
Trade Center has told us that
intra-Community trade could grow
by almost 50% over the coming
years, to a figure of 9 billion
dollars, if we move toward making
our Common Market a reality. This
would mean creating nearly 300,000
new direct jobs in the region.
This impact could be even greater,
if we consider the broad potential
offered by productive alliances
among our countries with a view to
gaining a stronger position in
world markets.
THE
NEED FOR CONSENSUS ON FUNDAMENTAL
ISSUES
We
cannot blind ourselves to the fact
that the subregion’s integration
is in a very difficult position
today, however. We are now at a
crossroads of history.
What
we do, or fail to do, over the
next two years, will have a
decisive impact on our countries’
performance over the next half
century. That is the
responsibility and the historical
challenge we face today.
It
is essential that we start to
share formulas for developing
integration based on the
achievement of a series of
consensuses on fundamental issues.
Andean integration must be viewed
as a political project that
transcends the sphere of trade.
This means that we have the
obligation to move beyond the
stage of a common tariff --which
has been set at the level chosen
by our countries-- to incorporate
other areas in response to the new
challenges that have arisen.
We
must adopt a flexible structure to
resolve apparent dilemmas over the
stumbling blocs that impede us at
times from advancing toward our
objectives. For that reason, we
have endorsed the principle of
variable geometry, whereby we can
move ahead at different rates, but
always in the same direction,
without renouncing the defense of
our common heritage.
We
are not a closed project. For many
years now, we have practiced open
regionalism and define ourselves
as a platform for competitive
positioning in the world economy.
For that reason, it is necessary
for us to bring our integration
undertaking into line with the
will of the countries to advance
in their negotiations with third
countries and blocs.
Trade negotiations, whether
bilateral, regional or
multilateral, contribute to our
aim of going beyond a Free Trade
Area. Our commitment is to a
community and that means building
a differentiated space that will
reaffirm our Andean identity.
The
freedoms that underpin a Common
Market, the new areas for
integration, the common foreign
policy or political cooperation,
go far beyond what free trade
areas tend to encompass.
SCENARIOS FOR INTERNATIONAL
NEGOTIATIONS
Today we are faced by several
different platforms for
international insertion that are
not mutually exclusive by any
means: the FTAA, the United States,
the MERCOSUR, the European Union,
and Canada. These are, without a
doubt, legitimate and
complementary options.
The
aim of strengthening Andean
integration is not incompatible in
any way with the efforts of our
countries today to give their
products more access to world
markets. On the contrary, the size
and strength of our common
undertaking will be largely put to
the test in the different
negotiating fronts that lie ahead.
At
stake is the definition of what
type of international insertion is
most appropriate for our countries
and what our capacities are for
working together, so that we may
successfully progress in these
scenarios.
I am
convinced, for example, that the
Free Trade Area of the Americas,
which has apparently been
converted into a process by stages,
will require a strategy for joint
action in order to reduce to a
minimum the foreseeable cost of
having less protection in the
future and the possible loss of
our policy-making autonomy.
Are
we clear in our minds about which
sectors will win out and which
will lose? Will the trade gap
widen, rather than lessen? Will
the agreement allow for balanced
development, or will it lock the
region into acting as a permanent
supplier of raw materials in a
regressive specialization of the
international division of labor?
In
order to answer these and other
questions, the General Secretariat
has just concluded a series of
studies with the involvement of
qualified external consultants. We
are making the findings available
to our countries’ governments and
businessmen.
Relations with the United States,
the top market for Andean exports,
have taken on strategic importance
for our countries. For that reason,
I understand that some of these
countries, faced with the
possibility that the FTAA will not
be attained before the ATPDEA
expires, have announced their
interest in moving toward signing
bilateral free trade treaties with
the United States.
This
is an illustrative example of the
principle of variable geometry
that I have proposed to the
Governments. Under this principle,
bilateral initiatives should
become an opportunity to seek
joint approaches to these
initiatives.
One
of the decisive platforms for
international insertion is “the
South American space.” I would
like to make a few comments on
this, given the presence of the
Brazilian President with us today.
Viewed from above -perhaps the
only way that Heads of State
should approach it--, South
America is one of the world’s
major landmasses. The Andean
Community, together with the
MERCOSUR, have a total GDP of 1
trillion dollars; a market of over
400 million people; one-third of
the planet’s biodiversity and
almost one-quarter of the world’s
fresh water. We can certainly
become world players in the new
“era of water and oxygen” which,
according to some, we have already
entered.
We
are engaged in negotiations with
the MERCOSUR that we intend to
complete by the end of this year.
I should remind you that Bolivia
has already signed an agreement
with that bloc and that Peru
should do so shortly. It is now up
to Colombia, Ecuador and Venezuela
to move as a Community in the same
direction. The differences are not
insurmountable. We do not expect
to have a closed and complete
agreement in place. It is possible,
using a pragmatic approach, to
reach an agreement that would
contain an evolving clause and a
permanent mechanism to enable us,
within a reasonable period of
time, to come to an agreement on
issues that may have remained
unresolved. At the same time, it
is important to restart and to
reinforce the political dialogue
that is aimed at consolidating the
South American space.
In
the case of the European Union,
huge advances have been made
toward reaching an agreement on
cooperation and policy dialogue. I
have no doubt that we will
conclude the negotiations at the
forthcoming Quito meeting and be
able to sign that agreement in
2004 during the Latin American -
European Union Summit in Cancún.
It is my firm conviction, in fact,
that we can launch the negotiation
if an Association Agreement that
would include a Free Trade Area,
as of this moment.
THE
MULTIDIMENSIONAL AGENDA AND SECOND
GENERATION POLICIES
Integration is a sine qua non in
the search for a better quality of
life for our peoples. “Putting our
house in order” and moving toward
a second generation of policies
within the framework of a
multidimensional agenda is the
challenge to be met today.
It
is the duty of this Andean
Presidential Council, then, to
affix their signatures to the new
strategy lines for guiding the
integration process through five
subject areas, as the Foreign
Ministers pointed out at their
Meeting last March: the social
agenda, the deepening of the
common foreign policy, the
construction of the Common Market,
sustainable development and South
American physical integration and
border development.
I
believe that it is important to
draw attention to the salient
aspects of each of these areas.
Social agenda
Like
the Presidents, I consider it
urgently important to give the
social agenda maximum priority.
The situation so demands it:
roughly 54% of the Andean
population -over sixty million
people-- live below the poverty
line; almost one-quarter of the
people are indigent; and the rates
of income concentration in the
Andean countries are among the
highest in Latin America.
It
is necessary to align social
policies in order to work out
specific and coordinated
strategies for social cohesion,
for the struggle against poverty
and exclusion, that will reinforce
governance and consolidate the
rule of democracy. The approval by
the Foreign Ministers last
Wednesday of the guidelines for
the Andean Social Plan that seeks
to develop more mechanisms for
social cohesion in our countries
is a step in that direction.
The
major task ahead of us today is to
avoid at all costs the appearance
of a scenario that I have termed,
colloquially, “an FTAA without
anesthesia,” or spaces for
negotiation from which we could
emerge as net losers.
We
should jointly undertake the
search for specific mechanisms,
such as those agreed upon in Cusco,
that would open the way to
implementing the proposal put
forward by the Heads of State at
the Quebec Summit, to establish
funds for cohesion that would make
it possible to deal with any
imbalances that could emerge in
the course of the hemispheric
negotiations.
Tied
in with this concern is the need
for more participation by civil
society in the integration process.
We already have the Labor and
Business Advisory Councils, one
Working Committee on Indigenous
Peoples’ Rights and another for
the defense of consumers and the
users of public utilities, thus
showing that in this new phase
greater importance is given to
democratization and even more so
to the subject areas and actors in
the integration process.
Common Foreign Policy
Political cooperation offers
plentiful opportunities for
addressing, as a Community, such
issues as democracy; security and
confidence building; the war on
terrorism; the defense and
protection of human rights; the
promotion of action against
illegal drug trafficking and
related offenses; and the all-out
war on corruption. All of these
are part of our common aim of
ensuring democratic stability and
guaranteeing the security of the
Andean Community countries.
Common Market
It
is vitally important that the
Presidents at this Summit endorse
the commitment to establish the
Common Market, in order to
guarantee the unhampered movement
of goods, services, capital and
people and to advance our
integration.
The
adoption of basic policy decisions
on the critical issues of the
Common Market would be a clear
demonstration that we are moving
in the proper direction. To
accomplish this objective, the
Heads of State must express the
will to remove barriers and
distortions, do away with failures
of compliance, and, in any case,
defend the common wealth we have
built up over 34 years of
painstaking efforts.
I
should like to underscore the
significant advances made by the
Foreign Ministers and the
Ministers of Foreign Trade during
the preparatory meetings for this
Summit, with their approval of 16
vitally important Decisions, some
of them in the socio-labor field,
as well as the provision on
International Passenger Transport
by Road.
Messrs. Presidents:
Perhaps we haven’t examined the
issue together in great depth, but
the fact is that the Community has
put forward in the FTAA offers to
deregulate nearly 90% of the
subregion’s trade over a period of
ten or more years as of the
signing of the Agreement.
Obviously, then, our countries
will have a long transition period
in which to reinforce their
strategy to advance the Common
Market and boost their development
and competitive insertion while
spaces for negotiation are being
consolidated.
Sustainable Development
We
have an excellent opportunity to
increase our global significance
if we take advantage of the
subregion’s energy potential as a
crucial element in the forthcoming
hemispheric negotiations. It
should be recalled in this context,
following the war in Iraq, that
the oil reserves of the Andean
countries are four times as large
as those of the United States and
eight times the size of the
reserves of the MERCOSUR countries.
In
December 2002, without fanfare, we
provided for the interconnection
of the electric systems of the
Andean countries. This decision
will benefit all of us, starting
with Colombia and Ecuador. This
year alone, Colombia will earn in
the neighborhood of 240 million
dollars, while Ecuador will enjoy
a saving of 45 million. The new
profits and savings so produced
amount to 40 years of the General
Secretariat’s budget and all of
this is the result of a single
provision adopted by the Andean
Community Commission.
The
Presidents’ support for the
“Andean Biodiversity Strategy” is
decisive if our multidimensional
agenda is to be comprehensive, and
will enable us to reassert and
exercise our rights over our
biological resources.
Only
a few short days ago, we signed a
significant agreement with
Conservation International -one of
the most important cooperating
NGOs in the world-- in order to
boost alternatives for sustainable
utilization and promote the
defense of Andean biodiversity in
the forthcoming international
negotiations.
South American physical
integration and border development
In
our effort to build up a regional
space, we must continue to support
the work of the South American
Regional Infrastructure
Integration Initiative (IIRSA),
with a view to facilitating the
coordination of plans and
investments and reconciling and
harmonizing associated national
and institutional regulations.
I
should also like to draw attention
to the importance of contributing
to border development. We are well
aware that our borders are areas
of relatively less economic
development and consequently
require special attention. Under
the present circumstances, not
only do we need sectoral
development policies, but also a
comprehensive plan that will take
in security issues. Consideration
should be given to calling for
international financing to execute
this Andean border development and
security plan.
I
would like to conclude by making
two comments of a strategic nature.
The
first is that the Andean Community
is still important, not only
because of what we have achieved -which
should not be underestimated--,
but because each one of our
countries will be unable to deal
with the major problems of the
future on its own. These are
realities that “bore through”
national borders, that “migrate”
and, as a result, that require a
common institutional platform.
The
second is that today’s world, like
the Internet, is a densely woven
and complex political and
commercial network where one
agreement affects the next.
It
would appear that the multipolar
nature of the world will become
evident within a few short decades,
when emerging powers like China or
India become consolidated.
It
is quite likely that in this
scenario individual countries
should not choose to belong to one
bloc or another, to one or another
commercial or economic platform,
but to a combination of these. We
should bear this in mind when
discussing the future role of the
Andean Community.
Messrs. Presidents,
I
would now like to return to that
evocative Travel by Foot
through this terrain, which today
has become the scenario for
building a renewed Andean
integration project.
Nothing is truer in the shaping
and life of a Community dream than
the “animus societates”. It is the
presence of this spirit that will
determine the strength and
viability of that dream, while its
absence will mean decline and
discouragement along the way. .
Political decisions are always
difficult wagers. But Statesmen
must make those decisions with
their eyes to the world of
tomorrow.
The
economic models that led to the
Cartagena Agreement have changed.
Even so, the end purpose of giving
our countries a strong voice in
the concert of nations continues
to be applicable:
Together, we can do far more than
we can separately.
Thank-you very much.