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Final Report of the Fifth Regular Meeting
of the Andean Community Advisory Council of
Treasury or Finance Ministers, Central Banks,
and Economic Planning Officers
The Andean
Community Advisory Council of Treasury or
Finance Ministers, Central Banks, and
Economic Planning Officers, meeting in
Caracas, Venezuela on June 21, 2001
Whereas:
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In order for
commercial and economic relations in the
subregion to flourish and for progressive
advances to be made toward the target of
forming the Andean common market by the
year 2000 defined by the Andean
Presidential Council in Cartagena in 1999
and reiterated in Lima in 2000, each
Member Country must enjoy economic
stability;
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In order to
achieve and maintain that stability and to
place the economies of the Member
Countries on the road to sustainable
growth, it is necessary to capitalize on
their individual efforts of recent years,
using Community mechanisms;
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It is
important to intensify and develop
measures for strengthening and integrating
the financial systems in general, and the
banking systems in particular, to ensure
that they operate efficiently and
constitute, in the medium term, an
integrated Andean financial market in
which the saving-investment process at the
Community level is optimized.
Agrees:
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To recognize
the successes of the Andean countries in
fulfilling the criterion for convergence
of inflation rates, adopted in May 1999,
which establishes the commitment to reduce
and maintain inflation at a single-digit
figure.
The Council
notes with satisfaction that the growth
rate of the consumer price indexes (CPI)
in Bolivia and Peru, which were already
below the single digit level before the
Community criterion was adopted, have
remained relatively stable at levels of
less than 4% per year and encourages those
countries to continue doing their utmost
to keep prices stable at low levels.
It values
highly the substantial advances made by
Colombia, which reached the single-digit
target in the second quarter of 1999.
Since then, its CPI growth rate continues
to be gradually reduced, having reached
levels of around 8% in an environment of
economic recovery.
In the case
of Ecuador, the Council notes with
satisfaction that the inflationary trend
was turned around in the third quarter of
2000, after the adoption early that year
of the official dollarization process, and
continues to descend rapidly.
It
underscores the rapid convergence of
Venezuela’s CPI growth rate with the
Community target. That variable has been
almost halved, to 12% a year, since the
Community criterion was adopted.
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To set the
target date of December 31, 2002 for all
Member Countries that have not yet done so
to reach a single-digit annual inflation
rate as measured by their own consumer
price indexes.
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To assume
the commitment to revise the existing
criterion for the convergence of inflation
rates in the fourth quarter of 2002, in
order to reduce the level and volatility
of inflation in each Member Country, as
well as its spread, and thus be able to
offer the Subregion’s economic agents a
stable scenario to which to appropriately
plan their decisions, using a broader
horizon. The Council takes note of the
agreement approved by the Governors of the
Central Banks at the Seventy-Second
Meeting of Presidents of Central Banks of
the Americas and Spain (CEMLA), which is
attached hereto.
As of 2002,
the non-financial public sector deficit in
each Member Country will not exceed 3% of
its GDP; temporarily, during the period
2002-2004, the limit may be raised to 4%
of GDP. In order to improve that target,
it will be necessary to continue making
the required analyses in this area. The
criterion of fiscal convergence should
include targets connected, in particular,
with the running average of the total
economic result of the non-financial
public sector for an appropriate period of
time, its structural component, and the
public debt-to-GDP ratio. A working agenda
will be established to perfect these
targets, with the participation of the
Central Banks, the Treasury or Finance
Ministries, the General Secretariat, the
FLAR, and the CAF. That agenda will
include at least the following subjects:
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The
sustainability of the public debt;
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The
structure of the public sector income
and expenditures for both the central
government and the non-financial public
sector (NFPS);
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An
evaluation of the impact of the
structural reforms on the fiscal budget;
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The
standardization of the information for
the NFPS.
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The balance
of the explicit (domestic and foreign)
public debt of the consolidated public
sector will not exceed 50% of GDP at the
end of each financial year. Each country
on its own will determine the financial
year as of which this target will be
applicable to it, without going beyond the
year 2015.
For purposes
of the application of the rules, the
economic result is the net variation of
the non-financial public sector fiscal
debt, excluding income from capital
transactions resulting from the
privatizing of State assets.
During years
of recession, defined by the existence of
a negative inter-annual variation in the
real GDP for two consecutive quarters,
Member Countries may go beyond the
ceilings set in the first rule, but must
present a macroeconomic plan for
regularizing their situations in the
course of the following 12 months, which
should include structural measurements, if
necessary.
Member
Countries that already have or that set in
the future, via constitutional provisions
or other measures with the force of law,
macrofiscal targets that are more
demanding than the Community rules cited
above, shall maintain their own targets
but shall be subject to the oversight
mechanism that is established in the
following paragraph.
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To formalize
the Permanent Technical Group (PTG), made
up of a delegate from each institution
participating in the Advisory Council and
a delegate from each of the following: the
Andean Community General Secretariat, the
FLAR, and the CAF, which will report to
the Advisory Council and whose main
function will be the overseeing of the
inflation and fiscal convergence targets.
The PTG will use as reference material for
its analyses the Convergence Action
Programs that the countries will submit in
the third quarter of each year and in
which they will specify the macroeconomic
assumptions and the economic policies they
plan to implement the following year. The
Annex to this Report specifies the duties
and responsibilities of the group and the
support it will enjoy, as well as the
short-term schedule it should carry out.
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To express
its satisfaction at the progress made by
the CAF and the General Secretariat in
reinforcing the national financial systems,
a subject that has been, and continues to
be, a matter of repeated concern to the
Council. In regard to the recent advances
made towards harmonizing basic banking
provisions, for which specific proposals
have been put forward on six basic aspects,
the Council recommends holding a meeting
of the Banking Superintendencies in the
Subregion. The purpose of that meeting
will be to evaluate what has been
discussed to date and to study the general
guidelines for harmonizing the Subregion’s
prudential provisions, in line with the
provisions followed by more advanced
countries in the Americas, and with those
issued by the Basle Committee. The CAF, as
secretariat of the meeting, is asked to
prepare a report on the results and to
submit it to the Council Chair by
September 30, 2001.
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To express
its satisfaction at the criteria
incorporated into the reformulated Common
External Tariff that have been advanced by
the General Secretariat because they
conform to the recommendations made by the
Advisory Council at its special meeting in
August 1999 to create a tariff instrument
that will be fully applicable by the five
countries, with harmonized systems that
would guarantee the operation of a customs
union. Reduction of the spread in tariff
levels and harmonization of the systems
for suspension and liberalization, which
would contribute to making Andean exports
more competitive, will ensure efficient
national production and cut down on tax
evasion. The Advisory Council, as a result,
commits its support to the Commission for
perfecting the customs union, to which end
it should prepare a timetable that would
enable the Member Countries to fulfill the
proposed aim.
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To express
its satisfaction at the progress made by
the FLAR in the analytical study for
substantiating the importance to Andean
integration of macroeconomic harmonization,
particularly in the areas of fiscal and
inflation harmonization.
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To accept
ECLAC’s invitation to participate in the
REDIMA Project that institution is
sponsoring, with the commitment that in
the Andean case, the network in question
will specifically support the working
agenda of the Advisory Committee and will
promote macroeconomic policy harmonization
in the Subregion in general. The General
Secretariat is asked to transmit this
answer to the Executive Secretary of ECLAC.
It also reaffirms the importance of the
participation of the General Secretariat,
the CAF, and the FLAR in the REDIMA.
The members of
the Advisory Council express their special
appreciation to Dr. José A. Rojas Ramírez,
Minister of Finance of Venezuela and
Chairman of the Council, for the efficient
organization and conduct of this meeting and
the generous hospitality offered.
For
BOLIVIA
Fernando
Quiroga Ramírez
Vice-Minister of the Budget and Accounting
Ministry of the Treasury of Bolivia
Armando
Méndez Morales
Director of the Central Bank of Bolivia
For
COLOMBIA
Catalina
Crane
Technical Vice-Minister
Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit
of Colombia
Cristina
Fernández
Advisor to the Management
Bank of the Republic of Colombia
Juan Carlos
Echeverry
Director
National Planning Department of Colombia
For
ECUADOR
José Luis
Ycaza
Chairman of the Board of the Central Bank of
Ecuador
For PERU
Javier
Abugattás
Vice-Minister of Economy
Ministry of Economy and Finance
Javier de
la Rocha Marie
General Manager
Central Reserve Bank of Peru
For
VENEZUELA
José
Alejandro Rojas
Minister of Finance of Venezuela
Diego Luis
Castellanos
President
Central Bank of Venezuela
Fernando
Hernández
Vice-Minister of Planning and Development
Ministry of Planning and Development
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