CLIMATE CHANGE
 

The Andean Environmental Agenda for 2006-2010 provides for the formulation and organization of the Andean Strategy on Climate Change - EACC and its corresponding Action Plan, so that they can serve as a basis for subregional coordination on the priority themes of the countries and of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol. Also envisaged are the creation of capacities to evaluate the effects of climate change on regional priority sectors/themes and the coordination of joint positions in international forums for negotiation on matters of Climate Change and the strengthening of the participation of national delegates.

Its impact on the Andean subregion

The Andean subregion illustrates the paradox of being an area that, despite participating little in the global production of greenhouse effect gases (GEG), is at high risk for suffering the effects of this problem, given the fragility and vulnerability of its population and ecosystems. 

According to the University of Leuven’s emergency database, three of the Andean countries are among the five countries most vulnerable to climate-generated dangers and the other two are among the high-risk countries.  An analysis of that database reveals that 68% of all emergencies are caused by dangers of hydrometeorological origin.   

Scenarios developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) at the level of a subregional country indicate that El Niño Phenomenon (ENP) may be more frequent and more intense during the earth’s overheating.  As a recent reference, and based on studies conducted by the CAF, the ENP in 97/98 produced losses of 7,545 million dollars, equivalent to 2.6% of the subregion’s GDP, but in Ecuador’s case, to 14% of its GDP, in that of Bolivia, to 7%, and in that of Peru, to 4.5%, these being the three countries that are most strongly affected. 

The countries’ vulnerability is enhanced by the high poverty (above 50%) and extreme poverty rates (between 15 and 30%) in the subregion, which limit the capacity for response on the part of the population and of the State and its institutions.  Furthermore, the five countries are megadiverse and their species are highly sensitive to changes in temperature and their impact.  In addition, the Andean countries contain 30% of the forested area of South America and 6.2% of the forests at the global level and these cover approximately 52% of its land area. 

Climate change presents irrefutable proof of its impact on the region, causing unavoidable damage.  Tropical glaciers, 95% of which are found in this subregion, have been drastically reduced and some of them have even lost 80% of their glacial areas. The withdrawal of the glaciers has an enormous impact on electric generation activities (approximately 60% of the electricity in the Andean countries is generated by water power and depends upon the glacial basins for its water supply), food and the availability of water for human and industrial consumption.  

The Andean countries are responsible for less than 2.5% of all global emissions, however, and most of these are due, in countries like Bolivia, Ecuador y Peru, to deforestation, and in Venezuela and Colombia, to the energy sector.  The subregion’s energy pattern shows low carbon intensity, since about 28% of the total energy supply is produced cleanly, from renewable sources (with zero carbon dioxide emissions). The subregion has a hydroelectric potential evaluated at 267,000 MW, representing nearly 9% of the planet’s hydroelectric potential.   

Actions taken

In short, the subject of climate change is highly important to the Andean subregion and it is the Focal Points of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), in each country, that have fuelled the advances made to date.  The institutional frameworks in the Andean Community countries in the area of climate all follow similar patterns, even though each country has its own particular features.   

The Andean countries have signed both the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol, fulfilled their commitment to deliver their First National Communications to the UNFCCC, and are in the process of elaborating their Second Communications.  In addition, three of the countries (Colombia, Ecuador and Peru) have completed their self-evaluations of existing capacities for implementing the Río Conventions (Bolvia led the process), having identified potential synergies and capacity-building priorities.   

In order to help mitigate greenhouse effect gas (GEG) emissions, four of the five countries in the region (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru) have appointed their National Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Authority (attributed to the Environmental Authorities). These authorities have implemented national approval processes that have proven to be efficient, and they possess a great potential for mitigation in their project portfolios that include the energy (renewable and non-renewable), industrial, transportation, waste materials and forestry sectors.  To date, 9 projects involving a total of 442.000 tons of reduction a year (Emission Reduction Certificates - ERCs) have been registered with the Executive Board of the CDM, while another 17 are in the process of validation and one more has applied for registration.   

In the area of vulnerability and adaptation, although there are no scenarios for climate change and its impact at the regional level as a whole, evaluations have been carried out at the level of each country that reflect its vulnerability to climate change. Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru are in the process of implementing projects (2 of national scope and 1 of subregional), financed from the adaptation funds available in the Global Environment Facility (GEF) that will make it possible to evaluate and implement pilot adaptation proposals.  This will equip them with better tools for incorporating considerations about impact in (regional, national, sector and local) development processes, governance and/or systems for territorial organization.    

Human resources trained through work at the different National Offices of Climate Change and of the Meteorological Services, academic institutions and specialized institutes are available in almost all of the countries of the subregion.  However, there are not enough of these human resources to carry out the necessary studies and to take the measures provided for in National Communications, strategies and plans and for the needs of the emerging carbon markets. 

Despite the importance the subject should be given on national agendas, climate change is not a priority, being catalogued merely as an environmental problem and not a development problem.  This is reflected in the level of financing that is made available to the National Offices in charge of Climate Change and to the national and international Offices for the CDM. The truth is that the Offices for Climate Change in the subregion could not continue to exist without outside financing.   Furthermore, their current levels of financing fail to consider two aspects: a) the long-term sustainability of the financing; and b) the implementation of the strategic actions provided for in the plans or strategies for mitigation, adaptation and response measures. 

On the one hand, there is a huge potential for synergic efforts with other CAN themes (disaster prevention, energy, biodiversity, and continental waters) which, if exploited, would make it possible to catalyze the incorporation of climate change considerations in other processes.  This would not only permit more efficient use of available resources, but could also give the theme its due importance.   

In short, the communality of the Andean countries’ vulnerability, their great potential for generating energy through renewable resources, the differing degrees of implementation of the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol (KP), and the identified common strengths, unexploited areas and gaps, as well as the potential for establishing synergies with other themes, uphold the need to draw up an Andean Strategy on Climate Change that would make it possible to agree upon a common  aim for the region in managing climate change.  This need was recognized by the Presidents of the Andean Countries, who, through the Andean Presidential Council (July 2004), approved Guideline 32, which resolves to instruct “the Andean Council of Ministers of the Environment and Sustainable Development, in coordination with the Andean Council of Foreign Ministers and the Advisory Council of Ministers of Energy, to formulate an Andean strategy for contending with and mitigating the negative effects of climate change… .”